Sevilla vs Roma | Europa League Final predictions

Sevilla vs Roma | Europa League Final

31/05/2023 20:00

Prediction: 1-1

The clash for the Europa League final is set to take place on Wednesday, May 31st, featuring Sevilla vs Roma. Sevilla, having already triumphed in the competition on six occasions, aims to secure yet another victory. On the other hand, Mourinho’s Giallorossi, who achieved success in the Conference League last year, are seeking a European double. Throughout their journey to the final, Roma overcame formidable opponents such as Salzburg, Real Sociedad, Feyenoord, and Bayer Leverkusen. Meanwhile, Sevilla emerged victorious against PSV, Fenerbahce, Manchester United, and Juventus after being eliminated from the Champions League. The stakes are exceptionally high since a spot in the next Champions League is also up for grabs, a goal that both teams failed to achieve in their respective leagues.

Sevilla enters this challenge following a less significant defeat to Real Madrid in the league and two draws against Betis and Elche in La Liga. Their most recent triumph came in the Europa League against Juventus in extra time. Roma, on the other hand, approaches the match in less than ideal form. Out of their last nine games, they only managed to secure a victory against Bayer at home. The remaining matches consisted of five draws and three defeats, with the most recent loss occurring against Fiorentina in Serie A on Saturday.

Sevilla will be without the suspended Acuna, while their defensive line will consist of Navas, Bade, and Gudelj alongside Alex Telles. In the midfield, Fernando’s physicality will be crucial, accompanied by the timeless leadership of Rakitic. There are some uncertainties in the attack, with Lamela, who previously scored against Elche and Juventus, favored over Suso. Ocampos is expected to win the competition for a starting spot against Gil. Leading the line will be En Nesyri, who has only found the net once in the last nine games.

Mourinho, on the other hand, is yet to determine Dybala’s involvement, but the Argentine is expected to be present, potentially not from the start. Consequently, a confirmation of the 3-5-1-1 formation is anticipated, with Ibanez in defense, despite his costly mistake against Florence. Smalling and Mancini will complete the defensive department. In the wide areas, Spinazzola and Zalewski will be present, with their positions threatened by El Shaarawy, who recently scored two goals in the last two games. Matic returns to the midfield alongside Wijnaldum and possibly Cristante. The attacking duo will be formed by Pellegrini and Abraham, who have been enduring a goal-scoring crisis for the past seven games.

In terms of the knockout phase, only one of Roma’s matches concluded with a scoreline of more than two goals.

• Three out of Sevilla’s last four ties resulted in a total of under 2.5 goals.
• Six of Roma’s previous eight games ended with under 2.5 goals.
• The Giallorossi have kept a clean sheet in six Europa League matches, a feat unmatched by any other team in the competition.
• Roma has scored more than once in a single game in their last eight outings.

Injured and suspended

Sevilla: (Tanguy Nianzou, Marcão, Pape Gueye, Tecatito and Marcos Acuña).

Roma: (Rick Karsdorp, Marash Kumbulla)

Sevilla vs Roma Predicted XI

Sevilla Predicted XI: Bounou; Navas, Bade, Gudelj, Telles; Fernando, Rakitic; Ocampos, Torres, Gil; En-Nesyri.

Roma Predicted XI: Patricio; Mancini, Smalling, Ibanez; Celik, Cristante, Matic, Spinazzola; Pellegrini, El Shaarawy; Abraham.  

Prediction

The prediction for the Sevilla-Roma match is for there to be under 2.5 total goals scored in the game. The Giallorossi (AS Roma) have performed well in their European journey, conceding very few goals. This is primarily due to the defensive tactics used by their manager, Jose Mourinho, who frequently concentrates on the defensive phase and looks to strike on the counterattack. It is unlikely that we will witness an exciting game, as Mourinho’s tactical plan is expected to remain the same in the final.

Sevilla is well aware of this and will try to calmly breach Roma’s defense without falling into their trap. It seems unlikely that we will see three goals in this match, at least within the first ninety minutes of regular play. Furthermore, it is unlikely that we will have a draw.