Predictions 06.04-08.05.2023

Manchester City vs Leeds United | Premier League

06/05/2023 15:00

Prediction: 3-1

After overtaking first place in the Premier League at the expense of Arsenal, Pep Guardiola’s Manchester City seem set to win the title, and after beating West Ham United 3-0 in their last home match with goals by Akè, Haaland, and Foden.

The match is scheduled at the Etihad Stadium in Manchester on Saturday, May 6, 2023. The visitors, led by Sam Allardyce, who replaced Gracia, are doing anything but well. Third from bottom together with Nottingham Forest, they lost 4-1 on the Bournemouth field in the previous match, and in the last 5 days they have won only one point. City without staffing problems, while Leeds will miss Sinsterra, Adams, and Dallas.

Manchester City have won their last 9 Premier League games.
Manchester City have scored 2 goals or more in 8 of their last 9 league wins and 3 goals or more in 5 of their last 6.
There have been 6 over 2.5 in Manchester City’s last 6 games in the Premier League.
Manchester City beat Leeds United in the last 3 H2Hs, and 4 or more goals were scored in each game.

Real Madrid vs Osasuna | Copa del Rey

06/05/2023 21:00

Prediction: 3-1

The historic Copa del Rey final is set to take place between Real Madrid and Osasuna. Real Madrid has an impressive record of 19 wins and 20 losses in the competition, with their last victory dating back to the 2013/2014 season. On the other hand, Osasuna has yet to win the final and has suffered defeat in their previous attempts.

Real Madrid is considered the clear favorite for the final, but there are factors that suggest Osasuna may be able to push them to extra time. Real Madrid has not been in excellent form lately, having lost second place in the standings to Atletico Madrid. Although this is not crucial for their position, it may indicate that the team is focused on preparing for this match and their upcoming commitment in a few days: the first leg of the Champions League semi-final against Manchester City. This will undoubtedly drain some mental energy.

Osasuna is currently in ninth place in the standings, having lost their last two matches. The tournament has been characterized by a few goals scored and conceded, and Osasuna will likely aim to block the result due to the strength difference between the two teams. However, they have already managed to defeat Real Madrid once in the championship out of two matches played.

Osasuna are in their second Copa del Rey final in their history and have yet to win.
Real Madrid has lost two of their last three league meetings.
Osasuna have lost the last two games to Real Sociedad and Barcelona.
In this tournament between the two, there has been a draw and a victory for Real Madrid.

AC Milan vs Lazio | Serie A

06/05/2023 14:00

Prediction: 1-0

The battle for a spot in the Champions League is heating up as Milan and Lazio prepare to face each other in a crucial match at San Siro on Saturday, May 6th. Milan suffered a setback in the midweek round and now finds itself tied for fifth place with Atalanta on 58 points, two points behind fourth-placed Inter. Lazio, on the other hand, is in a much better position, occupying second place with 64 points. Taking points from the Milan stadium would be a significant step for Sarri’s team towards securing their place in next year’s Champions League.

Milan has been going through a difficult period, having recently secured a place in the Champions League semi-finals by eliminating Napoli. They won against Lecce but then faltered with two consecutive draws at the Olimpico against Roma and at home against Cremonese. In both cases, they managed to salvage two points in stoppage time after falling behind. Lazio arrives at San Siro after a 2-0 home victory against Sassuolo, which helped them forget the two back-to-back defeats against Inter and Turin, ending their streak of five consecutive wins.

Milan have lost or drawn nine of their last twelve matches.
Lazio are back after five wins in their last seven league games.
Roma have the second-best external performance in Serie A with 9 wins, 4 draws, and only three defeats.
The Rossoneri have drawn three of their last four games at home in the league, winning only against Lecce and drawing with Empoli, Salernitana, and Cremonese.
Lazio have won two of their last three away matches, and in Serie A, they have won or drawn seven of their last eight.

Roma vs Inter | Serie A

06/05/2023 14:00

Prediction: 3-1

On Saturday, May 6th, at the Olimpico, there will be a direct clash between Roma and Inter for a spot in the next Champions League. Currently sitting in seventh place with 58 points, Roma needs to recover two points from Inter to secure fourth place. Inzaghi, who recently secured a place in the Italian Cup final, is amidst a final push that could confirm his position. Additionally, next week they will face Milan in the Champions League semi-final, and they seem to have an advantage in the race for fourth place compared to their competitors.

Roma is going through a difficult moment, having come back from two 1-1 draws with Milan and Monza, both times losing the advantage. Furthermore, they haven’t won in their last three games, including a direct clash with Atalanta that they lost at the end of April. Meanwhile, Inter is in top form, having won all three of their last league games: 6-0 against Verona, 3-1 against Lazio, and 3-0 against Empoli. Moreover, they won against Juventus in the Italian Cup semi-final return 1-0 and advanced to the Champions League semi-final with a 3-3 draw against Benfica.

Four of the last five matches Roma have played at home have ended in over 2.5.
Inter is the team that has scored the most over 2.5 in all of Serie A: 19 out of 33 matches.
There are 21 out of 16 Nerazzurri’s Over 2.5 away matches, including three of the last four games.
The Nerazzurri have the second-best attack in the league with 60 goals.
Roma have scored in five games in a row, and Inter have scored at least three goals in all of their last three games in the league.
Six of the previous seven have ended up with over 2.5.

Newcastle United vs Arsenal | Premier League

07/05/2023 16:30

Prediction: 3-1

Arsenal needs to win their next four matches and hope that Manchester City drops points in their busy schedule if they want to have a chance at winning the Premier League. However, their upcoming match against Newcastle at St. James Park will be challenging since Newcastle is currently in third place in the league table. There is a lot of tension between the two teams since Newcastle knocked Arsenal out of the Champions League by beating them 2-0 on May 16, 2022. As the season comes to a close, Arsenal needs to prove to the defending champions that they are still contenders for the Premier League title in June.

Even though Arsenal beat Chelsea 3-1 on Tuesday, they will need to improve in all areas to perform well at Gallowgate. This is the perfect opportunity for them to show whether they have improved as a club since last year’s disappointment.

On the other hand, Newcastle has been on an impressive winning streak since mid-March, winning 24 out of 27 possible points with only one loss against Aston Villa. Their recent wins against Southampton, Everton, and Tottenham, including a 5-0 halftime lead and a 6-1 scoreline, have caught the attention of many observers. Newcastle has a solid starting lineup, talented players in each position, and numerous offensive threats, such as Joe Willock, who is hoping to make an impact against his former club with his new teammates.

Newcastle have won their last 4 league games.
Newcastle scored an average of 3 or more goals during this period.
Newcastle have not lost any of the last 2 confrontations after 8 consecutive defeats.
Arsenal have gone 2 games in a row without scoring against Newcastle.
Arsenal have won just one of their last 4 Premier League matches.
Arsenal have conceded 8 goals in 270 minutes spent away from home.