The EFL Cup semi-final, Newcastle United vs Arsenal takes place at St. James’ Park on February 5, 2025. Will Eddie Howe’s team clinch their final spot or manage to stage a comeback for Mikel Arteta’s squad? Let’s review the statistics and current performance trends together with betting predictions.

Recent Form Breakdown: Can Newcastle Hold Their Lead?

Newcastle United’s Current Form (WWWLWL)

The Magpies approach this match still under the impact of their 1-2 Premier League defeat by Fulham. Jacob Murphy’s goal could not make up for the costly defensive errors. Their EFL Cup success where they defeated Brentford, Chelsea, and Arsenal proves their knockout capabilities.

• Key Trend: The team has scored 13 times in the past six matches.
• Weakness: Conceded 8 goals in the same period.
• Tactical Note: Newcastle’s high-pressing style forces turnovers but leaves gaps for counterattacks. Arsenal’s quick transitions could exploit this.

Arsenal’s Momentum Surge (WDWWWW)

In their most recent league match Arsenal thrashed Manchester City 5-1 as teenagers Myles Lewis-Skelly and Ethan Nwaneri received the main attention. The Gunners have not suffered any defeats across their last six matches while accumulating 11 goals.

• Key Strength: Balanced attack with 7 different scorers in 4 matches.
• X-Factor: Midfield maestro Martin Ødegaard has 3 goals in his last 2 appearances.
• Defensive Edge: This season Saliba and Gabriel have restricted opponents to an average of 0.8 goals per game as teammates.

Newcastle United vs Arsenal: Key Stats and Head-to-Head History

• Historical Edge: Arsenal dominate with 39 wins in 64 meetings.
• Recent Encounters: Newcastle won the last two clashes (2-0 in EFL Cup, 2-1 in Premier League).
• Critical Stat: No draws in their last five matches—expect fireworks!

Predicted Lineups: Tactical Insights

Newcastle United (4-3-3): Pope; Livramento, Botman, Schär, Hall; Tonali, Guimarães, Joelinton; Murphy, Isak, Gordon

• Watch Isak: The Swedish striker has 4 goals in 3 EFL Cup games.
• Midfield Battle: Bruno Guimarães’ duel with Declan Rice could dictate the tempo.

Arsenal (4-3-3): Raya; Timber, Saliba, Gabriel, Zinchenko; Ødegaard, Rice, Partey; Martinelli, Havertz, Trossard

Expert Betting Tips and Odds Analysis

Enter the excitement of football betting with StarBet which offers rich market selections and top-level odds to boost your betting adventure.

This match is widely expected to end in Arsenal’s victory because they stand as the clear favourite. Based on current StarBet odds, Newcastle United stands at 3.10 to win while Arsenal leads at 2.20 and the draw stands at 3.60.

Why Trust StarBet?

• Competitive odds across 50+ markets.
• Live betting during the match.

StarBet’s football prediction page is packed with expert match analyses, up-to-date team insights, and detailed player stats, helping users place well-informed bets confidently.

Newcastle United vs Arsenal: Tactical Battles to Watch

1. Newcastle’s Wide Play: Gordon and Murphy’s pace vs Arsenal’s full-backs.
2. Arsenal’s Press: Arteta’s gegenpress could disrupt Newcastle’s buildup.
3. Set-Piece Showdown: Botman’s aerial dominance vs Saliba’s positioning.

Final Prediction: Who Advances to the Final?

Newcastle leads with a 2-0 advantage but Arsenal’s sustained offensive and Arteta’s strategic changes have the potential to change the match outcome. The game promises loads of goals but Arsenal may not score enough to secure victory

Prediction: Newcastle United 1-2 Arsenal (3-2 Aggregate – Newcastle Advance).

Bet Smart Tip: Pair “Arsenal to Win” with “Both Teams to Score” for enhanced odds.