Home » The Elephant vs. The Mamba: Can Mozambique Stun the AFCON Kings?
Ivory Coast vs Mozambique has gained interest in the Group F opening game. As defending AFCON champions and tournament hosts, Ivory Coast begin their title defence with more than one eye speculatively fixed to both extremes of pressure and expectation.
Mozambique are the clear underdogs going into the game, but they are relishing the opportunity to measure themselves up against one of Africa’s best teams. There are always surprises in international football, and this game is more interesting than it looks on paper.
Ivory Coast arrive with a mix of hardened experience, quality depth and belief. Mozambique will rely on good organization and team spirit to remain competitive.
Opening matches frequently set the tone for a group campaign, so neither team will want to give up an early goal.
The Ivorian squad approaches this encounter in stellar form across various tournaments, specifically defined by a rugged defense. Ivory Coast’s form over their last few outings (WDWWLW) is that required for tournament football. (Recent 2-0 friendly win over Oman underscored their defense and clinical finishing ability.)
They hope to control the pace of games, and they are in search of an early goal as a matter of emphasis. Both teams managed to score in just 1 of the last 6 fixtures, highlighting how difficult Ivory Coast are to breach.
They also tend to score early and then cruise through games, conserving energy for the later rounds. This balance makes them a powerful unit and a favorite for those tracking the betting markets.
Mozambique have been inconsistent recently with an LWLWLD form in their own last six games. A 2-2 draw with Chad displayed that fighting spirit, but also clear vulnerabilities at the back.
The late goals favored them in that game, but continuing to switch off is a coach’s nightmare. Nine goals conceded in those six fixtures is a concern to take into the opening game.
From now on, the Mambas have proved they can be dangerous on the break. They have scored six goals in their last six games and are capable of giving teams problem when opportunities present themselves.
Having said that, defensive errors against better teams tend to be punished.
The numbers favor Ivory Coast in this matchup. In seven competitive games, they have had the edge at all times.
Ivory Coast is undefeated in this series, with five wins and two draws. Mozambique have not yet defeated Ivory Coast at senior level – meaning that further pressure would be added on them heading into this game.
The most recent meeting saw Ivory Coast ease to a 3-0 win. Two of the last three games ended in draws but Ivory Coast had the better chances on each occasion.
Ivory Coast Predicted XI (4-3-3)
Mozambique Predicted XI (4-5-1)
StarBet offers competitive pricing for the Ivory Coast vs. Mozambique encounter. Below are the current odds for those looking for value.
Match Results
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Pairing an Ivory Coast victory with Over 2.5 goals provides great value. Additionally, the early goal market is attractive based on historical statistics.
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Things seems very positive for an easy win by the Ivory Coast in this match. Their depth in the squad and solid defense are also some of the reasons as to why they overwhelm Mozambique.
Mozambique may sit tight for 15 or 20 minutes, but to maintain that intensity against these sort of players for the full length will be impossible. Ivory Coast’s control of midfield will restrict Mozambique to a handful of counter-attacking opportunities.
Wide, the Ivory Coast’s upcoming attackers can stretch the defense and open spaces in the box, which should allow for Sébastien Haller to then operate in dangerous scoring positions.
Our professional view favors the champions to start their tournament with a convincing win.
Final Score Forecast: Ivory Coast 3–1 Mozambique
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