Predictions 28.11 – 01.12.2023

Barcelona vs Porto | Champions League

28/11/2023 20:00

Prediction: 3-0

Xavi’s Barcelona finds itself in a complex situation both in the Champions League and the domestic championship. What initially seemed like a team ready to ascend suddenly faced a downturn. Results have allowed opponents to make a comeback, particularly in Europe, where their secure hold on the top spot in Group H is now in question. The upcoming clash against Porto at the Olympic Stadium in Barcelona becomes pivotal, especially with the unavailability of Camp Nou due to renovations.

The stumble occurred in not one but two matches. The first setback came in the fourth round of the Champions League, where Xavi’s team, perhaps displaying some complacency, faced and were defeated by Shakhtar Donetsk. This allowed Porto to catch up and challenge Barcelona’s leadership in the group. A crisis-busting victory against Porto becomes imperative to restore confidence, although the advantage gained in the first leg still puts the Spaniards in a favorable position. Porto’s only slip in the group was in the direct clash at Do Dragao, showing resilience against other opponents.

In the first leg, Barcelona secured a victory, albeit a narrow one (0-1). While this places them in an advantageous position, Xavi’s team is unlikely to make too many calculations, especially as they need to make amends for the recent draw against Rayo Vallecano in the league. In the last league match in Madrid, Rayo Vallecano held the formidable opponents to a 1-1 draw. Barcelona, in their two home matches, convincingly defeated both Antwerp (5-0) and Shakhtar Donetsk (2-1). The upcoming clash against Porto is not just a bid for Champions League redemption but also an opportunity for Xavi’s Barcelona to reaffirm its dominance on multiple fronts.

Manchester City vs RB Leipzig | Champions League

28/11/2023 20:00

Prediction: 3-0

Manchester City has essentially secured qualification, and the upcoming match will provide definitive clarity on their first-place status in Group G of the Champions League. Even a draw could be sufficient for Pep Guardiola’s team to secure leadership. However, foreign teams, especially under Guardiola, are known for their attacking mentality, so an open and engaging game is expected.

In the league, Manchester City had contrasting results in two high-profile encounters against Chelsea (a thrilling 4-4 draw at Stamford Bridge) and Liverpool (a 1-1 draw at home). Meanwhile, Leipzig is coming off a league defeat at home against Wolfsburg (2-1). In the Champions League, City was the only team to pose a challenge for the Germans, winning the remaining three matches and scoring in all four.

Currently, Manchester City has left little room for their opponents in the first four matches. They have won all four games, including the first leg against Leipzig (1-3). Across these matches, City has consistently scored three goals. However, they have conceded in three out of the four matches, totaling three goals against them. Notably, only Young Boys failed to score at the Etihad, with the final result favoring the English club 3-0. The upcoming fixture is poised to be another dynamic encounter, with City aiming to maintain their winning streak and secure the top spot in the group.

AC Milan vs Borussia Dortmund | Champions League

28/11/2023 20:00

Prediction: 1-0

As the Champions League group stage nears its conclusion, the clash between Borussia Dortmund and Milan on Tuesday holds significant implications. Borussia Dortmund is currently in first place with 7 points, while Milan is in third place with 5 points. PSG, with 6 points, faces Newcastle, who has 4 points. The outcomes of these matches will shape the dynamics of the next round, with victories for Dortmund and PSG potentially securing their spots in the round of 16.

Milan has shown resilience, recovering from a crisis in October. Coach Pioli guided them to success in the Champions League against PSG, enhancing their chances of progressing to the next stage. Additionally, Milan secured a 1-0 victory against Fiorentina in the last Serie A round. Borussia Dortmund, coming off a 4-2 triumph against Mochengladbach in the Bundesliga, is also in good form after a setback against Stuttgart.

Notably, all of Dortmund’s Champions League matches have concluded with Under 2.5 goals. The first-leg encounter between Milan and Dortmund ended in a 0-0 draw. On average, 1.5 goals are scored in Milan’s Champions League matches, compared to 1.3 goals in Dortmund’s. The recent head-to-head history shows that the last three official meetings ended with Under 2.5 goals. Furthermore, six of Milan’s last seven home games concluded with fewer than three goals on the scoreboard. This statistical backdrop suggests a tendency towards low-scoring affairs, setting the stage for a potentially tightly contested match between Borussia Dortmund and Milan.

PSG vs Newcastle United | Champions League

28/11/2023 20:00

Prediction: 3-1

As the penultimate day of the Champions League Group F approaches, PSG and Newcastle will clash on Tuesday. The group standings are interesting, with Dortmund at 7, PSG at 6, Milan at 5, and Newcastle at 4. Every team has a chance to advance, but everyone is also at risk of elimination. The last 180 minutes of play will be decisive, and PSG could potentially secure a comfortable lead with a victory. For Newcastle, it’s a crucial moment as they need points to keep their hopes alive for progressing to the round of 16.

Paris Saint-Germain is in excellent form, having secured victories against Monaco and Reims in their last two matches, making it six wins in their last eight games.

On the other hand, Newcastle’s recent performance has been less impressive, with a notable 4-1 win against Chelsea, but also facing defeats against Bournemouth and Borussia Dortmund, complicating their path to the round of 16.

  • PSG has won seven of their last eight matches.
  • Paris Saint-Germain has a perfect record of winning all their last six home games.
  • Newcastle is coming off two consecutive away defeats.
  • The Magpies have lost two of their last three matches.
  • PSG has maintained a clean sheet in six of their last seven home games.

These statistics highlight the contrasting forms of the two teams, with PSG in a strong position, especially at home, while Newcastle faces challenges on the road and needs a positive result to keep their Champions League aspirations alive.

Galatasaray vs Manchester United | Champions League

29/11/2023 17:45

Prediction: 1-1

The upcoming clash between Galatasaray and Manchester United holds significant importance in Group A, with both teams vying for a spot in the knockout stage of the Champions League. The match is crucial, as the winner will stay in contention for advancing, while the loser might face complications in securing a spot.

Galatasaray enters the game on a positive note, having secured a convincing 4-0 victory against Alanyaspor after facing defeats to Bayern Munich and Hatayspor. Meanwhile, Manchester United is also in a recovery phase, registering wins against Luton and Everton without conceding a goal after their setback in Copenhagen.

In the first leg, Galatasaray emerged victorious with a 3-2 scoreline. Notably, Galatasaray has seen high-scoring matches, with their last four games ending with Over 2.5 goals. Furthermore, in their home matches, there have been eight consecutive games with Over 2.5 goals.

For Manchester United, three out of their last four Champions League matches have seen Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, five of their last seven away games concluded with Over 2.5 goals.

Real Madrid vs Napoli | Champions League

29/11/2023 20:00

Prediction: 2-0

In the Champions League Group C summit clash, Napoli faces Real Madrid, who have already secured their qualification. The merengues stand atop with a perfect record of 12 points, requiring only one more point to ensure they finish in first place and gain an advantage in the round of 16 draw. Napoli, with 7 points, is on the verge of progression, holding a four-point lead over Braga and a six-point lead over Union Berlin. Mazzarri, having started his Napoli stint with a victory against Atalanta, eyes a significant accomplishment at the Bernabeu, though the confirmation might await the next match mathematically.

Real Madrid continues its impressive run, notching a 3-0 victory over Cadiz, marking their third consecutive win and extending their unbeaten streak to 11 games, featuring 9 wins and 2 draws. Mazzarri’s revamped Napoli, initiated with a crucial win against Atalanta, safeguards their fourth-place standing and inaugurates the post-Garcia era on a positive note following the Frenchman’s dismissal post a heavy home defeat against Empoli.

 

  • Real Madrid remains unbeaten in all Champions League matches this season.
  • The Spaniards boast victories in their last three encounters and have suffered only one defeat this campaign.
  • Real Madrid has emerged victorious in four out of five matches against Napoli.
  • Los Blancos exhibit a home record of 7 wins and a draw this season.
  • Ancelotti’s squad has scored a minimum of two goals in nine of their last eleven matches.

Arsenal vs RC Lens | Champions League

29/11/2023 20:00

Prediction: 2-1

At the Emirates Stadium in London, Mikel Arteta’s Arsenal is set to host Lens, led by Franck Haise, on the fifth day of Group B in the Champions League. The match is scheduled for Wednesday, November 29, 2023. A draw for the home Gunners would secure their mathematical qualification for the second phase of the tournament, holding a 4-point advantage over the PSV-Lens duo. However, with a victory, they would clinch the top spot. Arsenal needs to be cautious, considering Lens is the only team that has defeated them in the competition so far, with a 2-1 outcome on October 3. Arsenal is returning from a narrow 1-0 triumph in the Premier League against Brentford, propelling them to the summit of the championship. On the other hand, Lens secured a convincing 3-0 victory in Ligue 1 against Clermont.

Notably, Arsenal is unbeaten at home this season, boasting a record of 7 wins and 2 draws. In their last four home games across all competitions, Arsenal has emerged victorious, and they have a perfect record of 2 wins in the Champions League this season.

Lens, meanwhile, has won their last two league matches and has been consistently impressive in 11 of their last 12 outings in all competitions. However, they face a challenge in European away games, having not secured a victory in the last 13 matches, with 7 draws and 6 defeats. Lens has displayed defensive strength in their recent away games, keeping clean sheets in 4 of the last 5 matches.

 

  • Arsenal remains undefeated at home this season with 7 wins and 2 draws.
  • Arsenal has won their last 4 home games in all competitions and is 2 for 2 in the Champions League.
  • Lens has not won an away game in Europe for 13 matches, comprising 7 draws and 6 defeats.
  • Lens has kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 5 away games.

Bayern Munich vs FC Copenhagen | Champions League

29/11/2023 20:00

Prediction: 0-1

Already securing a spot in the round of 16 as the Group A leader in the 2023/2024 Champions League, Thomas Tuchel’s Bayern Munich faces the role of a referee in the battle for the second spot, involving Copenhagen, Galatasaray, and Manchester United. In the lead-up to their remaining fixtures, they host Jacob Neestrup’s Danes at the Allianz Arena. Bayern, fresh from a 1-0 Bundesliga victory over Cologne, is still in pursuit of Leverkusen in the league. Meanwhile, Copenhagen comes into this encounter after a 2-1 loss to Viborg in the Superligaen but maintains its top position in the tournament. In the Champions League, the Danes share 5 points with Galatasaray, holding a two-point advantage over Manchester United.

Bayern Munich is on a four-game winning streak in both league and cup competitions, with six consecutive victories at home. Copenhagen recently concluded a run of five consecutive positive results, including four victories, with a defeat in the league. Neestrup’s team has managed only one win in their last four away games.

  • Bayern Munich has won their last 6 home games in both the league and other competitions.
  • In the 9 games played at home this season, there have been 9 Over 2.5.
  • Bayern Munich has scored at least 2 goals in 11 of their last 14 Champions League matches.
  • Bayern Munich is already qualified for the round of 16 and is mathematically first in Group A.
  • In the Champions League, Bayern boasts an unbeaten home run of 12 games with 10 wins and 2 draws.
  • Copenhagen has never won against a German team in European cups, with a record of 9 defeats and 4 draws.